Victor Strategies EVP Gene Johnson: Prediction Markets ‘Biggest Scam I’ve Ever Seen’

Victor Strategies EVP Gene Johnson: Prediction Markets ‘Biggest Scam I’ve Ever Seen’

Player props, multi-leg combos, point spreads, and over/unders. Open up an app offering all of that, and you’d be forgiven for thinking you’d landed in a sportsbook.

The thing is, these days, you may actually be looking at a federally regulated prediction market.

It’s a future Gene Johnson anticipated.

Back in March 2025, Johnson wrote a column warning that sports prediction markets wouldn’t stop at simple game-outcome contracts. He predicted that they’d move into player props and parlays until it became increasingly difficult to tell prediction markets and sportsbooks apart.

More than a year later, CasinoBeats spoke with Johnson in a wide-ranging interview and asked him to revisit that prediction in light of everything that had changed since.

Continue reading “Victor Strategies EVP Gene Johnson: Prediction Markets ‘Biggest Scam I’ve Ever Seen’” →

New York Sports: Prediction Market Deals Test How Far the State’s Crackdown Can Go

New York Sports: Prediction Market Deals Test How Far the State’s Crackdown Can Go

Polymarket partners with the Yankees and Rangers. Novig signs a deal with the Mets. Kalshi named official prediction-market partner of Madison Square Garden.

Headlines like these are everywhere, so much so that you’d hardly know New York is waging one of the most aggressive crackdowns on sports-event contracts in the country.

The Yankees became the latest to jump on the bandwagon when they announced an official partnership with Polymarket on August 6. That deal includes branding at Yankee Stadium, broadcast-visible home-plate signage, and fan experiences.

With the deal signed, the Yankees are now part of a growing group of New York sports organizations with prediction-market partnerships that go well beyond just adding a logo to a sponsor page.

Continue reading “New York Sports: Prediction Market Deals Test How Far the State’s Crackdown Can Go” →

Prediction Markets: Trading, Gambling, or Both? Why the Debate Matters for Consumer Protections

Prediction Markets: Trading, Gambling, or Both? Why the Debate Matters for Consumer Protections

Ask ten people about prediction markets, and you’ll likely get ten different answers.

To some, they’re nothing more than sportsbooks dressed up in financial clothing. To others, they’re sophisticated tools for hedging real-world risk.

However, for the average user, the experience is much less abstract. For them, it’s simply this: put your money on an uncertain outcome, cross your fingers, and hope for the best.

Prediction markets have experienced rapid growth over the last year, with Kalshi and Polymarket reaching multibillion-dollar valuations.

As they continue to expand into sports and other consumer-facing categories, the debate over what prediction markets really are, and what protections they owe their users, is becoming harder to ignore.

Continue reading “Prediction Markets: Trading, Gambling, or Both? Why the Debate Matters for Consumer Protections” →

Former CFTC Regulator Carl Kennedy on Prediction Markets, Insider Trading & Federal Oversight

Former CFTC Regulator Carl Kennedy on Prediction Markets, Insider Trading & Federal Oversight

With cease-and-desist orders flying, lawsuits piling up, state regulators and tribal gaming leaders pushing back, and a public still trying to figure out what exactly the fight is all about, prediction markets are now front and center in one of the most contentious legal battles over jurisdiction in recent years.

Watching it all unfold, it’s hard not to reach the conclusion that prediction markets currently sit in a legal no-man’s-land. To some, they’re nothing more than gambling. To others, they’re legitimate financial contracts.

That was the backdrop when CasinoBeats spoke with Carl Kennedy about the legal tug-of-war over prediction markets and what comes next. Kennedy is a partner and co-chair of Financial Markets and Regulation at Katten and a former regulator at the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) who was a primary drafter of several rules implementing the Dodd-Frank Act.

Continue reading “Former CFTC Regulator Carl Kennedy on Prediction Markets, Insider Trading & Federal Oversight” →